AI leaders call for US-China deal as startups build verification tools
- Boom: AI leaders publicly advocate for a US-China artificial intelligence agreement as of September 2026
- Boom: Startups are actively building tools to verify compliance with a potential US-China AI deal
- Doom: Washington Post reports a US-China AI deal is unlikely despite calls from industry leaders
- Neutral: Verification technology is emerging as a key condition for any enforceable bilateral AI agreement
The story in full
As of September 23, 2026, AI leaders are publicly calling for a bilateral agreement between the United States and China on artificial intelligence, while startups have begun developing tools to verify compliance with any such deal. The Washington Post and South China Morning Post both covered the development on the same day.
The push for a US-China AI agreement faces significant obstacles, with the Washington Post framing a deal as unlikely despite support from AI leaders. Separately, startups are positioning their verification technology as a prerequisite for any enforceable agreement between the two countries.
Analysis
421 wordsOn September 23, 2026, AI industry leaders publicly called for a bilateral agreement between the United States and China on artificial intelligence, coinciding with a summit involving President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. The Washington Post reported the same day that, despite American tech leaders being invited to a dinner with Xi, the White House has shown little interest in pursuing a comprehensive AI deal. Separately, the South China Morning Post covered startups that are already building verification tools designed to confirm compliance with any such agreement, framing this technology as a practical prerequisite for any enforceable arrangement between the two countries.
The timing matters because it places private industry advocacy in direct tension with government reluctance. Verification has historically been one of the hardest problems in arms-control style agreements, and the emergence of startups positioning their tools as a solution signals that at least some in the private sector see a commercial and strategic opportunity in the governance gap. Whether verification technology can actually resolve the trust deficit between Washington and Beijing is a live question, and the answer shapes whether any deal is conceivable at all. The competitiveness dimension adds another layer: restricting or coordinating AI development between rivals risks disadvantaging whichever side moves more cautiously.
The Middle Ground camp, which produced the only quoted reactions to this story, reflects the tension clearly. The Washington Post account noted the White House's lack of interest in a deal even while hosting Chinese leadership. Rep. Adam Smith called for Trump and Xi to discuss controlling AI in what he described as a more intelligent way during the summit. CSIS observed that whatever emerges from the summit will likely serve as leverage in the broader institutional contest over AI governance rather than producing a genuine agreement. Brookings raised the competitiveness question directly, asking whether policymakers can slow advanced AI development without compromising American standing. Tech Policy Press offered a framing that cuts across both concerns, arguing that dominance will belong to whoever achieves the most adopted model, not merely the most powerful one. Pro-AI and Anti-AI camps have not yet reacted publicly; the former would typically argue that voluntary coordination between leading powers accelerates safe deployment, while the latter would likely warn that any deal giving China legitimacy in AI governance carries serious risks.
The clearest near-term signal to watch is whether the Trump-Xi summit produces any joint statement or framework on AI, even a symbolic one, and how the White House characterizes any such outcome in the days that follow.
What Middle Ground voices are sayingAI leaders are pushing for a US-China bilateral agreement on AI while policymakers question whether slowing development risks American competitiveness. Some note that summit outcomes will likely become leverage in the broader institutional contest over AI governance rather than producing a genuine deal.
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More Middle Ground reactions (4)
“the dominant AI power won't be the one with the most powerful model—it'll be the one with the most adopted one.”
Tech Policy Press, Bluesky · 22:54 UTC“it's important that President Trump and President Xi discuss controlling it in a better, more intelligent way during today's summit.”
Rep. Adam Smith, Bluesky · 17:32 UTC“Can policymakers slow the development of advanced AI without compromising U.S. competitiveness?”
Brookings Institution, Bluesky · 13:47 UTC“Both Washington and Beijing will likely use whatever emerges from this summit as currency for the wider institutional contest over AI governance”
CSIS | Center for Strategic & International Studies, Bluesky · 15:00 UTC
Sources
4 articles from 3 outlets- UA.NEWSStartups develop tools to verify US-China AI agreements — South China Morning Post
- South China Morning PostCan the US and China verify an AI deal? Start-ups are starting to build the tools
- South China Morning PostCan the US and China verify an AI deal? Start-ups are building the tools
- The Washington PostAI leaders say U.S. and China need a deal. That probably won’t happen.

